Southeast Asia Analysis
The website of Dr. Zachary Abuza
"A top comrade’s fall underlines divisions in Vietnam," Asia Times, 8 May 201.
"The Fault Lines in Vietnam's Next Political Struggle," The Diplomat, 23 December.
"Can Duterte Bring Peace to the Philippines?" The Diplomat, 24 November 2016.
"Vietnam's Military Modernization," The Diplomat, 28 October 2016.
"The Strategic and Tactical Implications of the Islamic State on Southeast Asia's Militant Groups," Georgetown Journal of Asian Affairs (Fall 2016).
"Thai Peace Talks More Fig Leaf Than Olive Branch," IPI Global Observatory, 8 September 2016.
"Violence in Thailand’s Deep South," New Mandala, 17 August 2016.
"Two suspects in Thailand’s blasts," New Mandala, 13 August 2016.
"Hanoi’s hopes rise with China’s dashed nine-dash line," New Mandala, 13 July 2016.
"Trilateral Maritime Patrols in the Sulu Sea: Asymmetry in Need, Capability, and Political Will," CIMSEC, 6 July 2016.
"Duterte and prospects for Bangsamoro peace," New Mandala, 24 June 2016.
"Cam Ranh International Port Visits in Strategic Context," CIMSEC, 23 May 2016.
"Trouble in the Southern Philippines: Problems and Prospects," The Diplomat, 28 April 2016.
"Beyond Balikatan, Troubling Questions for Philippine Security Post-Aquino," Cogitasia, 15 April 2016.
"Vietnam's 12th Party Congress," The Diplomat, March 2016.
"ISIL's bid to unite Southeast Asian jihadists," The Review, February 2016.
"Little Fall Out: Vietnam's Security After the 12th Congress of the Vietnam Communist Party," CIMSEC, 8 February 2016, at and reprinted at Real Clear Defense.
"Beyond Bombings: The Islamic State in Southeast Asia," The Diplomat, 15 January 2015.
"No Time for Complacency on ISIS Threats in Southeast Asia," Cogitasia, 24 November 2015.
"Vietnam’s draft media law," New Mandala, 20 November 2015.
With Dr. Cynthia Watson, "China's Southeast Asia Policy Is Failing," The Diplomat, 13 October 2015.
The Riddle of the Bangkok Bombings, Sentinel, October 2015.
Truth the latest victim in Bangkok Bombing, New Mandala, 22 October 2015.
Civil Society and Media Freedom in Vietnam, National Endowment for Democracy, 15 October 2015.
Secrets and secession in Vietnam, New Mandala, 8 October 2015.
Vietnam’s rising repression, New Mandala, 21 September 2015.
'Independence or martyrdom' in Thailand’s Deep South, New Mandala, 10 September 2015.
Independence or martyrdom” in Thailand’s Deep South, New Mandala, 10 September 2015.
No peace soon in Thailand’s Deep South, New Mandala, 7 September 2015.
Politics & Security in Thailand, New Mandala, 18 August 2015.
Thailand's Human Trafficking Won't Stop, New Mandala, 4 August, 2015.
Southeast Asia's Real Security Problem, Cogitasia, 31 July 2015.
Southeast Asia: Where the Uighur Hits the Road, New Mandala, 17 July 2015.
Jockeying for Position Ahead of the 12th Party Congress, Cogitasia, 14 July 2015.
The Smoldering Thai Insurgency, CTC Sentinel, June 2015.
Preparedness for 'unexpected developments' in the East Sea, VietNamNet, 26 June 2015.
Joining the New Caravan: ISIS and the Regeneration of Terrorism in Southeast Asia, US Army War College Security Studies Institute, 25 June 2015.
Vietnam and the US move closer, but need to Discuss A2/AD, CIMSEC, 9 June 2015.
Washington Doubles Down on the Balikatan Exercises, Cogitasia, 30 April 2015.
Politicking and the PhIlIppIne Peace Process, ISDP, Policy Brief, No. 176, 27 April 2015.
Indonesia 'in a bind' over Beijing's assertiveness in South China Sea, Deutsche Welle, 21 April 2015.
Passing the Bangsamoro Basic Law an Imperative for U.S.-Philippines Relations, Cogitasia, 15 April 2015.
Car Bomb Explodes at Thai Resort, The Diplomat, 13 April 2015.
Indonesia, Japan Boost Defense Ties With Wary Eye on China, World Politics Review, 9 April 2015.
Why Thailand is boosting ties with Russia and China, Deutsche Welle, 7 April 2015.
China's assertiveness draws Japan and Indonesia closer, Deutsche Welle, 25 March 2015.
And the Winner of Mamasapano is... Grace Poe, Cogitasia, 6 March 2015.
As Media Freedom Nosedives for ASEAN, so Goes Clean Governance Prospects, Cogitasia, 20 February 2015.
Moro Peace Deal Under Fire, Cogitasia, 29 January 2015.
People’s or Party’s Army In Vietnam?, ISDP, Policy Brief, No. 168, 12 January 2015.
Vietnam’s Treatment of Its Media Hobbles Ties with Washington, Cogitasia, 18 December 2014.
Conditions Not Yet Ripe for Peace in Southern Thailand, Deutsche Welle, 3 December 2014.
From Bullets to Ballots in Muslim Mindanao: The New Challenge of Democratic Politics, Focus Asia, No. 11 (November 2014).
Show Me the Money: The Abu Sayyaf Group Rears Its Ugly Head Again, Indo-Pacific Review, 20 November 2014.
Vietnam National Assembly Grades Country’s Leaders, Cogitasia, 20 November 2014.
More guns to increase 'tit-for-tat' violence in Southern Thailand, Deutsche Welle, 5 November 2014.
Learning from Mindanao: Lessons for Thailand, Indo-Pacific Review, 30 October 2014.
Retrograde: Junta Policies Set Thailand Back, Indo-Pacific Review, 16 October 2014.
Religion in the Southern Thai Conflict, The Lowy Interpreter, 10 October 2014.
Jakarta Has to Follow the Money, The Review (September2014).
Vietnam’s Naval Upgrades Likely Will Limit but not Deter China in the South China Sea, CSIS Cogitasia, 12 September 2014.
Fear Us: Military Expenditures in Southeast Asia, Indo-Pacific Review, 11 September 2014.
Bangsamoro Blues, Indo-Pacific Review, 7 August 2014.
Thailand’s Interim Charter: The Future is Now, CSIS Cogitasia, 31 July 2014.
Joining the New Caravan: ISIS & the Future of Terrorism in Southeast Asia, Part I, Indo-Pacific Review, 18 July 2014 and Part II , 21 July 2014.
Bad Beijing: Opportunities for Vietnam, Indo-Pacific Review, 3 July 2014.
The Elephant in the Room: Thailand’s Royal Succession and the Coup, Indo-Pacific Review 19 June 2014.
The Philippines’ Slowly Modernizes its Defense Capabilities, CSIS, Cogitasia, 10 June 2014.
After the Coup: Grim Prospects for Peace in Thailand’s Restive South, Indo-Pacific Review, 9 June 2014.
Vietnam’s Incomplete Military Modernization, CSIS, Cogitasia, 29 May 2014.